Sunday, October 2, 2011

2011 MLB Pick Analysis

Earlier this summer, I picked the remaining baseball schedule with some 50 games to go for each team. I looked closely at who teams in pennant races would be playing, and used that schedule to formulate what I believed their final record would be.
            Now that the season is over, it’s only fair to go back and see how I did. So check out how smart and stupid I was at the same exact time…

·         Here were my picks:

Division
Team
Record
NL

West

1 .
San Francisco Giants
97-65
2 .
Arizona Diamondbacks
89-73
Central

1 .
St. Louis Cardinals
90-72
2 .
Milwaukie Brewers
89-73
3 .
Pittsburg Pirates
88-74
4 .
Cincinnati Reds
84-78
East

1 .
Philadelphia Phillies
99-63
2 .
Atlanta Braves
93-69
Wild

1 .
Atlanta Braves
93-69
2 .
Milwaukie Brewers
89-73
AL

West

1 .
LA Angles
94-68
2 .
Texas Rangers
93-69
Central

1 .
Detroit Tigers
90-72
2 .
Chicago White Sox
85-77
3 .
Cleveland Indians
82-80
East

1 .
Boston Red Sox
102-60
2 .
New York Yankees
101-61
3 .
Tampa Bay Rays
90-72
Wild

1 .
New York Yankees
101-61
2 .
Texas Rangers
93-69
3 .
Tampa Bay Rays
90-72

·         Compared to how they actually finished:

Division
Team
Record
NL

West

1 .
Arizona Diamondbacks
94-68
2 .
San Francisco Giants
86-76
Central

1 .
Milwaukie Brewers
96-66
2 .
St. Louis Cardinals
90-72
3 .
Cincinnati Reds
79-83
4 .
Pittsburg Pirates
72-90
East

1 .
Philadelphia Phillies
102-60
2 .
Atlanta Braves
89-73
Wild

1 .
St. Louis Cardinals
90-72
2 .
Atlanta Braves
89-73
AL

West

1 .
Texas Rangers
96-66
2 .
LA Angles
86-76
Central

1 .
Detroit Tigers
95-67
2 .
Cleveland Indians
80-82
3 .
Chicago White Sox
79-83
East

1 .
New York Yankees
97-65
2 .
Tampa Bay Rays
91-71
3 .
Boston Red Sox
90-72
Wild

1 .
Tampa Bay Rays
91-71
2 .
Boston Red Sox
90-72
3 .
LA Angles
86-76

            So as you can see, I had some successes and some struggles. I correctly picked the St. Louis Cardinals, Philadelphia Phillies, Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees to make the playoffs; but the San Francisco Giants, Atlanta Braves, LA Angles and Boston Red Sox let me down and didn’t reach the finish line. And kudos to the Milwaukie Brewers, Texas Rangers, Arizona Diamonbacks and Tampa Bay Rays for making it to the postseason.
            Getting 50% right isn’t too shabby; heck, if I were batting .500 I think they’d keep me around in the majors….. Until next time

Dirt Poll - Week Six

Before the season started, I previewed the first ever Dirt Preseason Poll. So I figured, why not continue it throughout the season. After each weeks slate of games, I’ll update my rankings – add teams who are deserving, and drop teams out who lost. So sit back; and check back every Monday to see the movers and shakers in the Dirt Top 25 poll.
            I’ll include their rank, where they were ranked in my poll the week before, their AP ranking and their record. Enjoy:

Rank
The Dirt Poll
Record
LW
AP
1
LSU
5-0 (2-0)
1
1
2
Alabama
5-0 (2-0)
2
2
3
Wisconsin
5-0 (1-0)
4
4
4
Oklahoma
4-0 (1-0)
3
3
5
Stanford
4-0 (2-0)
5
7
6
Oklahoma State
4-0 (1-0)
6
6
7
Clemson
5-0 (2-0)
16
8
8
Oregon
3-1 (1-0)
7
9
9
Michigan
5-0 (1-0)
12
12
10
Arkansas
4-1 (0-1)
17
10
11
Texas
4-0 (1-0)
18
11
12
Boise State
4-0 (1-0)
10
5
13
Georgia Tech
5-0 (2-0)
19
13
14
Arizona State
4-1 (2-0)
22
22
15
USC
4-1 (2-1)
24
NA
16
Auburn
4-1 (2-0)
NA
15
17
South Carolina
4-1 (2-1)
8
18
18
West Virginia
4-1 (0-0)
21
16
19
Nebraska
4-1 (0-1)
11
14
20
Florida
4-1 (1-1)
9
17
21
Illinois
5-0 (1-0)
23
19
22
Kansas State
4-0 (1-0)
NA
20
23
Baylor
3-1 (0-1)
14
25
24
Florida State
2-2 (0-1)
NA
23
25
Washington
4-1 (2-0)
NA
NA

·         Notes:
o   Dropped out: #15 Virginia Tech – lost to #16 Clemson; #13 Texas A+M – lost to #17 Arkansas; #20 South Florida – lost to Pittsburg; #25 TCU – lost to SMU
o   Moved in: Auburn – defeated #8 South Carolina; Kansas State – defeated #14 Baylor; Florida State – idle; Washington – defeated Utah  

·         Ranked Teams Per Conference:
o   SEC – 6
o   Big 12 – 5
o   Pac 12 – 5
o   Big 10 – 4
o   ACC – 3
o   Big East – 1
o   Mountain West – 1